The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. Given the ages of Gilmore and Patrick Peterson, Ramsey is neck-and-neck with White and Marshon Lattimore as the likely best cornerback in football over the next five years. He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. It's possible to make the Hall of Fame as a lineman without an All-Pro appearance, but the only guy to do it since the merger is Jackie Slater. Fitzpatrick went from getting benched for the Dolphins in Week 1 to becoming a first-team All-Pro after his arrival in Pittsburgh; another year like 2019 will push him into Watt territory. The second-best trade in Reid's history might have been trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009 for Peters, who has held down left tackle for 10 of the past 11 seasons in Philadelphia and will return to play guard in 2020. And thanks to coach Kelvin Sampson and the assistants he Solomon: DeMeco Ryans the right coach at the right time, 3 pressing questions facing new Astros GM Dana Brown, Jabari Smith Jr. growing up in NBA with an assist from his father, Poor parent behavior is driving high school sports refs away. Giants fans would be happy if Thomas solidified a position that has been a mess since Will Beatty tore his pec in 2015. What happens next is critical for Gurley, who would have seemed on the road to Canton after taking home Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 and adding an Offensive Player of the Year award two years later. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Jared Goff, OT Andrew Whitworth, P Johnny Hekker. After being retired for five years, players maintain modern-era eligibility for 20 years, after which their cases go to the seniors committee. His case is very strong for a first-ballot election. Podcast: Stat superlatives The players listed below are the top 250 HOFm-rated players who played WR starting in 1955 or later for at least 50 career games. Reggie Wayne, a Senior Bowl Hall of Famer, prepped Jalen Wayne for what to . He has made five consecutive Pro Bowls and has a first-team All-Pro appearance. If he can stay healthy, he's probably going to retire in the top 10 for career passing yardage, but will that really be enough to get him in without more individual awards or team success? Unless he really hangs on into his 40s, he'll finish as the second-most-productive tight end in history, behind Tony Gonzalez. XFL Week 3 preview: Can AJ McCarron, Battlehawks continue their fourth-quarter heroics? He has the third most sacks through his age-25 season of any player since the league made it an official stat in 1982, trailing only Derrick Thomas and J.J. Watt. Hekker got a two-season head start, but he has been a first-team All-Pro four times before turning 30 in February. He rarely gets the public attention he deserves, but the Pro Bowl voters haven't ignored the interior disruptor, who has earned eight Pro Bowl nods and a pair of first-team All-Pro votes. Watt's last name and presence on a high-profile defense won't hurt. Allen was named a Pro Bowler after racking up 10.5 sacks as a rookie. Ngakoue has deserved more attention and might get it in a new locale if the Jaguars honor his request and trade the 25-year-old before the season begins. Since 1980, there have been 23 Modern-Era Wide Receivers honored by the Hall of Fame, with an average Legends Score of 29. Xavien Howard made the Pro Bowl in 2018 and would be the best candidate, but he has missed an average of six games per season across his four pro campaigns. That's just about a magic formula for getting into the Hall. After five consecutive Pro Bowl campaigns, I wonder whether Landry actually has a better shot of surpassing his friend and longtime teammate. When: 1999-2004 These two probably had the greatest four-year stretch in NFL history. Lock (100%): QB Aaron Rodgers. How many future Hall of Famers will play in Super Bowl 55? - WKYC What Current NFL Players are Going to the Hall of Fame: NFC North He has been one of the five best players at the second-most lucrative position in football over the past five years, and the fact that he was traded for two first-round picks and then delivered a wildly successful season with all of that attention in 2018 helps him. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Collins was a Defensive Player of the Year candidate in 2016 and has three Pro Bowls across his first five seasons. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Davante Adams, OT David Bakhtiari, LB Za'Darius Smith. Heyward reminds me a lot of Campbell; they're prototypical five-technique ends who upped their pass-rushing performance when given more opportunities to get after the quarterback. Rent the Hall. You could make a case Jones belongs in the Likely category based on his 2017 and 2019 seasons, although I'd argue there's a significant gap between those two campaigns and the rest of his career. In part, that has been driven by health; the only other wideout ranking in the top 100 for receiving yards who has played all 80 games over the past five seasons is Larry Fitzgerald. Roy Williams is the lone Hall-eligible safety who didn't follow his early success to Canton. Elroy "Crazylegs" Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. First, its hard for young guys to adapt to the NFL. I've split players into four groups. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. The Cowboys are blessed with two linemen bound for Canton. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. He also came up with an interception while winning his first Super Bowl, which helps his case. Ingram wasn't very good for extended stretches of time until his fourth season in the league in New Orleans, and while he has made three Pro Bowls since, he hasn't had a top-five season in terms of production or won a Super Bowl. Many of the modern-era players to whom hes statistically comparable played well into their 30s. 1. Running backs mean less than they have in the past, but Terrell Davis just made the Hall for what really amounted to a three-season stretch as the best running back in football. I'll start with the two young players. While injuries have cost Watt 32 games over the past four seasons, his unprecedented four-season peak from 2012 to 2015 locked up things. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. Where does Evans slot in? So maybe the best thing for Johnson and Texans fans is to be patient. Jarrett made his first Pro Bowl last season, but his disruptiveness hasn't yet led to a gaudy sack total, which is what you need to get in as a defensive lineman. Jets, Browns tapped for 2023 NFL Hall of Fame Game From 2000-2003, Randy Moss put up video game numbers: 376 receptions, 5,649 yards and 49 touchdowns. Once again, its wait til next year for Texans great Andre Johnson when it comes to the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Keenan Allen, G Trai Turner, DE Melvin Ingram III, CB Chris Harris Jr. Turner has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but interior linemen typically need multiple first-team All-Pro nods to draw significant Hall interest. Hill's game still relies on speed, so he could be more susceptible to a career shortened by injuries than most other candidates, but if he gets three more seasons with Mahomes, he's probably in. Gates, a former college basketball player, had one of the greatest careers for an undrafted player, logging 16 seasons with the Chargers. While Tucker would be the overwhelming choice as the best kicker in football, the Hall has elected just two full-time kickers in its history. Both Bosa and Kittle could make this tier placement look stupid if they have big seasons in 2020. Radio Hall of Fame Announces 2021 Inductees - Radio World . We're in a pass-happy era, but Thomas has more receptions (470) and receiving yards (5,512) than any other players in league history through their first four seasons. Also, if a guy enters the league at a young age, he could theoretically have a longer NFL career, which would give him more time in the second half (or post-peak portion) of his career to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. Sherman has a strong case as the best cornerback of the decade and was an essential piece of what was likely the best defense of the decade. Art Monk<br>1980-1995. He was on the All-2000s team, a three-time first team All-Pro and made eight Pro Bowls. As a result, I would expect him to make it to the Hall someday. The star inside linebacker made his first Pro Bowl last season, which is incredible given that it was his age-21 season. Hes top-10 in passing yards and touchdowns, so hell get a gold jacket at some point, if not on the first ballot. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Adam Thielen, LB Anthony Barr. A big individual season and a few MVP votes in 2020 would be enough to push him into the next category. Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. Jones now has five consecutive seasons with at least 10 sacks. Ranking the top outlier contracts The site navigation utilizes arrow, enter, escape, and space bar key commands. Likely (70% to 99%): CB Richard Sherman. He ranks seventh all-time in receiving touchdowns (116), 30th in yards (11,841) and 17th in receptions (955). Harold Carmichael finished his career with 590 receptions and 79 touchdowns. The Bucs already have the best receiver duo in the NFL in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and the addition of a player like Brown in his prime would make this unit completely unfair. Larry Fitzgerald on NFL future: 'I just don't have the urge to play Jalen and Reggie Wayne connected while he was in college, and his uncle has helped him every step of the way since. Larry Fitzgerald won't be suiting up for the Arizona Cardinals for the start of the season, but the future Hall of Fame wide receiver stopped just short Friday of announcing his retirement. I'll do a little bit of projecting here and there, given historical aging curves and what we know about each player's injury history, but this is almost entirely about what each player has done so far. How Calvin Johnson compares to the Pro Football Hall of Fame WRs At the same time, Green has missed 23 games over the past two years with injuries. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation On a weekly basis, Evans is a volatile player, but his year-over-year production has been incredibly consistent. Ten of those 12 are in the Hall -- Elliott and Adrian Peterson are the other two. Hightower and McCourty have made only two Pro Bowls each, and while they'll get a bump for their Super Bowl rings, it's tough to imagine them getting in when guys like Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel didn't make it from the first era of Pats Super Bowl winners. While the wide receiver logjam is a disaster for Hall of Fame voters, Moss should present a no-brainer case one day as a first-ballot choice. Some players draw more attention after getting traded or signing a big extension, and Buckner did both this offseason. Houston probably had the best shot of these four earlier in his career, given that he made four consecutive Pro Bowls and led the league with 22 sacks in 2014, but he hasn't been dominant since dealing with a knee injury between 2015 and 2016. On the latest episode of the Let's Go! He's going to get in on the first ballot. (You might remember Mitchell Trubisky in the Pro Bowl in 2018.) Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. He is a three-time Defensive Player of the Year, joining Lawrence Taylor as the only three-time winners of the award. Quarterbacks like Ken Anderson, Boomer Esiason and Steve McNair won league MVP without earning enshrinement. While Witten, 38, is years removed from his peak, he's going to finish his career with 11 Pro Bowl appearances and two first-team All-Pro nods. The only Hall-eligible players drafted since 1970 who have five of those and aren't in the Hall are Alan Faneca and Zach Thomas. James was a first-team All-Pro as a rookie, and while he missed 11 games in 2019 with a foot injury, he should get back on track in 2020. Not all elite prospects turn into Hall-of-Famers, but given Evans draft capital, physical profile and college production, its reasonable to say that what hes done in the NFL hasnt been a random fluke. JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN Aldon Smith, who was once the most promising young edge rusher in football, would need a miraculous comeback in his first season since 2015 to get back on the HOF radar. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Prescott has made two Pro Bowls over his first four seasons, but his best rsum point is winning Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2016. How Antonio Brown is hurting his Hall of Fame future, and what the 19 Won't: Maurice Jones-Drew No promotions available. The Hall site draws a distinction, interestingly, between wide receivers and ends. Adams hasn't been able to break through the Julio Joneses of the world to earn a first-team All-Pro spot, which is probably where he needs to get. Find out more. The 2010 No. Julio Jones (2011-17): 8,076, two-time All-Pro, will be a Hall-of-Famer Jerry Rice (1985-89): 7,370, Hall-of-Famer, greatest receiver of all time Randy Moss (1998-2003): 7,258, Hall-of-Famer Torry Holt (1999-2004): 7,147, most yards through five years in NFL history Stafford posted gaudy numbers earlier in his career when the Lions had him lead the league in attempts, but he has made it to one Pro Bowl and hasn't won a playoff game in 11 seasons. Or write about sports? For now, Tom Brady and J.J. Watt lead the list of this years retirees wholl be on the ballot in 2028. 1 min read. He's the second-most productive receiver in football history. Guy got some help because the Raiders drafted him with their first-round pick, while Hekker gets extra attention because of his propensity for fakes. He has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls, although his only first-team All-Pro nod came in 2017. Henry plays a Hall-friendly position and just won a rushing title. Carmichael was one of the best wide receivers of his era. In his final college season, he had a nice 69 receptions for 1,394 yards and 12 touchdowns in 13 games as a redshirt sophomore. Edelman's career as a starter really didn't begin until he was 27, so while his case is built on postseason performance, I still don't think he has the regular-season production needed to supplement a case. The closest comp is Ken Anderson, who had a similar peak and won an MVP award but didn't last quite as long and hasn't been able to get in. We don't talk enough about Hunter, who only has two Pro Bowl nods over his first five seasons.